College basketball odds, picks for Nov. 14: Advanced model going over in Kentucky-Kansas
College basketball odds, picks for Nov. 14: Advanced model going over in Kentucky-Kansas:-It’s a loaded evening Tuesday in college hoops with several highly ranked teams with Final Four aspirations taking the floor.
Kansas is a 4.5-point favorite against Kentucky, Purdue is a five-point favorite on the road at Marquette and Duke is a 1.5-point favorite over Michigan State in a game between the the top two teams in the nation that has already seen plenty of line movement.
With so many eye-popping games and so many college basketball odds on the move, you’ll want to know what SportsLine’s advanced computer model is picking.
SportsLine’s Projection Model crushed its college basketball selections last season, returning a profit of over $6,500 on $100 bets. Anybody who followed those picks saw an enormous payday.
Now that same model has simulated every college basketball game for Tuesday 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
One Top 25 team the model loves for Tuesday night: Purdue, which travels to Marquette for an early-season showdown. The line opened at Purdue -1, but quickly has jumped all the way to -5 as the public has shown faith in the No. 19 team in the nation. The model has similar confidence, saying the Boilermakers will win big and cover the spread in an 89-78 final.
Purdue is winning 80 percent of the simulations straight up and 63 percent of the time against the spread.
The model has strong projections for the over-unders for the night’s biggest games. For Duke-Michigan State, the model has the under 158 hitting in 63 percent of simulations. In a game between a stingy MSU defense and a talented but young Duke team, you can make that pick with confidence. And for Kansas-Kentucky, the model has the over 151 hitting in 59 percent of simulations.
The model also has strong picks for which side of Kentucky-Kansas and Michigan State-Duke you need to be all over, saying that there’s an 83 percent chance that one of those top contenders goes down hard tonight.