{"id":46252,"date":"2017-10-07T06:08:58","date_gmt":"2017-10-07T06:08:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.biphoo.com\/bipnews\/?p=46252"},"modified":"2017-10-07T06:08:58","modified_gmt":"2017-10-07T06:08:58","slug":"the-horrifying-cost-of-a-north-korea-nuke-attack-1-5m-dead-in-minutes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.biphoo.com\/bipnews\/news\/the-horrifying-cost-of-a-north-korea-nuke-attack-1-5m-dead-in-minutes.html","title":{"rendered":"The horrifying cost of a North Korea nuke attack: 1.5M dead in minutes"},"content":{"rendered":"

The horrifying cost of a North Korea nuke attack: 1.5M dead in minutes<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n

The horrifying cost of a North Korea nuke attack: 1.5M dead in minutes: One single reliable warhead fired by North Korea could destroy densely populated cities, killing millions.<\/span><\/p>\n

Those who aren\u2019t killed in a nuclear blast would be left with devastating injuries while their cities would be flattened.<\/span><\/p>\n

A detailed analysis by 38 North, at the US-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, has revealed what would happen if Kim Jong Un did the unthinkable and actually fired a nuclear weapon.<\/span><\/p>\n

In \u201cA Hypothetical Nuclear Attack on Seoul and Tokyo: The Human Cost of War on the Korean Peninsula,\u201d Michael J. Zagurek paints a terrifying picture of the damage it could cause.<\/span><\/p>\n

Assuming North Korea has 25 operational nuclear weapons with warhead yield ranges from 15 to 250 kilotons timed for airburst at optimal altitude, Zagurek runs through seven different scenarios.<\/span><\/p>\n

The warhead yield ranges are based on current and possible future capabilities and the estimates of casualties were also based on the size of the city and population density.<\/span><\/p>\n

In the most extreme estimate of a 250-kiloton weapon being used, Seoul and Incheon, which have a combined population of 24,105,000, would have 783,197 fatalities and 2,778,009 injuries.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tokyo and Yokohama, with a combined population of 37,900,000, would have 697,665 fatalities and 2,474,627 injuries.<\/span><\/p>\n

Maps showing four blast areas from a 250-kiloton airburst detonation also show how far the fallout and blast would reach.<\/span><\/p>\n

North Korea has launched 98 ballistic missiles since 2011, including 19 this year.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, it remains unclear exactly how many warheads it possesses and how advanced they are.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nuclear disarmament campaigner John Hallam said the analysis was fairly authoritative.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hallam speculated the DPRK (Democratic People\u2019s Republic of Korea) had between 40 and 60 warheads.<\/span><\/p>\n

He also said he believed it will be a while before North Korea hits its nuclear goals.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI\u2019m also inclined to think that it will be a while before they fit a 250-kiloton warhead to more than one or two rockets,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cSo 38 North analysis being based to a large extent on smaller warheads is not unreasonable \u2014 but the number of larger warheads will clearly rise over time.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Hallam said it was reasonable to assume Seoul and Tokyo were obvious targets, but the analysis didn\u2019t include an ability to strike US West Coast cities.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIf that ability does exist, then it\u2019s also possible for them to strike Sydney, Australia, which doesn\u2019t mean they necessarily will \u2014 the highest-priority target in Australia, indeed almost in the world, is Pine Gap, critical for US command and control,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIf US cities become part of the equation, which they will in a year or two if they are not now, then that body count will be higher.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

He also pointed out the analysis didn\u2019t take into account Donald Trump\u2019s threat to wipe out the DPRK, which would increase the body count even further.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hallam said there would also be fallout that would also add to the huge casualty toll.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIt would be necessary to take into account the effects of fallout drifting in one direction all over South Korea, and in the other direction, into Manchuria,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cMaybe once Seoul has been leveled, which can be done without use of nukes at all, a little fallout from the rubble bouncing in the DPRK is of lesser consequence, but it needs to be taken into account somehow.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Trump said his administration\u2019s goal was for North Korea to denuclearize.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWe cannot allow this dictatorship to threaten our nation or our allies with unimaginable loss of life,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWe will do what we must do to prevent that from happening. And it will be done, if necessary, believe me.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

The president had been discussing Iran and North Korea with US military leaders and posed for a photo with them before declaring the moment \u201cthe calm before the storm.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cYou guys know what this represents?\u201d Trump said after journalists gathered in the White House State Dining Room to photograph him and Melania Trump with the uniformed military leaders and their spouses.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cMaybe it\u2019s the calm before the storm,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/p>\n

When asked what storm, Trump replied: \u201cYou\u2019ll find out.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Source:-\u00a0http:\/\/nypost.com\/2017\/10\/06\/the-horrifying-cost-of-a-north-korea-nuke-attack-1-5m-dead-in-minutes\/<\/p>\n

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